A high-risk, high-reward decision-making philosophy that made Sam Bankman-Fried’s wealth possible – but also fragile.
Author: Gleb Tsipursky
Did you know that the typical five-year strategic planning forecasts perform about as well as dart-throwing chimpanzees? Cognitive science and behavioral economics scholars have conducted research on people who are the most skilled forecasters among us. Apparently, they perform no better than chance on economic predictions more than three to five years out. Given that gloomy information, you might be asking why I would write an article about strategic planning at all. You’re in the same boat with my consulting client Beth, the CEO of a mid-size medical management company, when I told her about this same research finding in our conversation about strategic…